Ekaterina Yashina vs Chiara Girelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates Yashina has an edge, winning 41.58% of points compared to Girelli's 37.74% over the past six months.
• Is second serve performance a reliable match predictor? Yes, there is a high correlation between this stat and match outcomes.
• Girelli outperforms Yashina in recent return statistics, capturing 51.16% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Yashina’s 47.89%.
• In first serve returns, Girelli again leads, achieving 35.94% of points versus Yashina's 29.75%.
• Under pressure, Yashina saves 51.39% of breakpoints, suggesting greater resilience, against Girelli's 30.77%.
• Over the last year, Girelli's match win rate is slightly higher at 54.05% compared to Yashina’s 52.63%.
• Both players excel on indoor hard courts, with Yashina slightly more successful, boasting a 57% win record to Girelli's 55%.
• Girelli’s experience is mostly in Futures/ITF $10K events, winning 58.33% of matches, while Yashina competes more in Challengers/ITF >$10K events, with a 47.06% win rate.
• Yashina has dominated their direct encounters, winning both past meetings and four out of five sets.
• Head-to-head matches generally last around 1 hour 47 minutes, with no history of deciding sets or tiebreaks played between them.
• Girelli faces tougher competition with opponents averaging a rank of 104.89, compared to Yashina’s 392.78 ranking opposition.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Girelli wins 55%, giving her an edge over Yashina's 36% should the match go the distance.
• Yashina shows better breakpoint conversion at 36.36%, ahead of Girelli's 25.93%, indicating more effectiveness when opportunities arise.

Editorial Prediction (May 25, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance data, Yashina appears to hold several advantages in the upcoming match against Girelli. Her superior second serve and break point conversion stats suggest she will be more effective in critical points.

Although Girelli demonstrates stronger return games and has faced higher-ranked opponents, these factors might not be sufficient to offset Yashina's historical head-to-head dominance and ability to handle high-pressure situations.

Considering historical performances and surface preferences, Yashina’s track record in direct matchups further tilts the balance in her favor.

Given these insights, Ekaterina Yashina is the likely winner of this impending clash.